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General => General Discussion => Politics => Topic started by: CraigStern on March 21, 2010, 10:41:53 PM

Title: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: CraigStern on March 21, 2010, 10:41:53 PM
Quote from: http://www.nytimes.com/2010/03/22/health/policy/22health.html?hpWASHINGTON — Congress gave final approval on Sunday to legislation that would provide medical coverage to tens of millions of uninsured Americans and remake the nation's health care system along the lines proposed by President Obama.

By a vote of 219 to 212, the House passed the bill after a day of tumultuous debate that echoed the epic struggle of the last year. The action sent the bill to President Obama, whose crusade for such legislation has been a hallmark of his presidency.

Democrats hailed the vote as historic, comparable to the establishment of Medicare and Social Security and a long overdue step forward in social justice. "This is the civil rights act of the 21st century," said Representative James E. Clyburn of South Carolina, the No. 3 Democrat in the House.

After a year of partisan combat and weeks of legislative brinksmanship, House Democrats and the White House clinched their victory only hours before the voting started on Sunday. They agreed to a deal with opponents of abortion rights within their party to reiterate in an executive order that federal money provided by the bill could not be used for abortions, giving the Democrats the final votes. Democrats said that in expanding access to health coverage for uninsured Americans, they were creating a new program every bit as important as Social Security and Medicare, while also putting downward pressure on rising health care costs and reining in federal budget deficits.

Republicans said the plan would saddle the nation with unaffordable levels of debt, leave states with expensive new obligations, weaken Medicare and give the government a huge new role in the health care system.

The debate on the legislation has highlighted the deep partisan and ideological divides in the nation and set up a bitter midterm Congressional election campaign, with Republicans promising an effort to repeal it or block its provisions in the states.

Representative Marcy Kaptur, Democrat of Ohio, said the bill heralded "a new day in America." Representative Doris Matsui, Democrat of California, said it would "improve the quality of life for millions of American families."

But Representative Paul D. Ryan, Republican of Wisconsin, denounced the bill as "a fiscal Frankenstein." Representative Lincoln Diaz-Balart, Republican of Florida, called it "a decisive step in the weakening of the United States." Representative Virginia Foxx, Republican of North Carolina, said it was "one of the most offensive pieces of social engineering legislation in the history of the United States."

The passions swirling round the bill were evident Sunday on the sun-splashed lawn south of the Capitol. Hundreds of protesters chanted, "Kill the bill" and waved yellow flags declaring, "Don't Tread on Me." They carried signs saying, "Doctors, Not Dictators."

The health care bill would require most Americans to have health insurance, would add 16 million people to the Medicaid rolls and would subsidize private coverage for low- and middle-income people, at a cost to the government of $938 billion over 10 years, the Congressional Budget Office said.

The bill would require many employers to offer coverage to employees or pay a penalty. Each state would set up a marketplace, or exchange, where consumers without such coverage could shop for insurance meeting federal standards.

The budget office estimates that the bill would provide coverage to 32 million uninsured people, but still leave 23 million uninsured in 2019. One-third of those remaining uninsured would be illegal immigrants.

The new costs, according to the budget office, would be more than offset by savings in Medicare and by new taxes and fees, including a tax on high-cost employer-sponsored health plans and a tax on the investment income of the most affluent Americans.

Cost estimates by the Congressional Budget Office, showing that the bill would reduce federal budget deficits by $143 billion in the next 10 years, persuaded some fiscally conservative Democrats that they should vote for the bill.

Democrats said Americans would embrace the bill when they saw its benefits, including some provisions that take effect later this year.

Health insurers, for example, could not deny coverage to children with medical problems or suddenly drop coverage for people who become ill. Insurers must allow children to stay on their parents' policies up to their 26th birthday. Small businesses could obtain tax credits to help them buy insurance.

Discuss!
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Presentiment on March 21, 2010, 11:47:33 PM
That reminds me, you're a lawyer, is your main income from law, scholarships, games, or your family?

On topic:

The Tea Partyers piss me off, but I don't have much to say, other than wondering how senators can bear to filibuster for so f'n long (http://www.foxnews.com/story/0,2933,90552,00.html).

And I'm glad Congress can now focus on more pressing issues.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Zackirus on March 22, 2010, 11:30:08 AM
Yesh, It toke you guys that long to get a better health care system. Canada has a free health care system and we have been doing just fine. then again, their are no socailists patries in America. God Bless Tommy Douglas and the NDP (only this one time though).
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: KZ on March 22, 2010, 12:35:27 PM
Ha, I was about to post a thread about this topic myself!
With exactly the same purpose, hoping to hear what you folks, and Craig in particular, have to say!

For me this is interesting from historic points of view, in comparing to how the previous major healthcare bills like medicare and madicaid were passed.
It also seems like the first major hard-fought change that P. Obama managed to introduce (ie one that encountered significant opposition).
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on March 22, 2010, 03:23:00 PM
Quote from: Zackirus on March 22, 2010, 11:30:08 AM
Yesh, It toke you guys that long to get a better health care system. Canada has a free health care system and we have been doing just fine. then again, their are no socailists patries in America. God Bless Tommy Douglas and the NDP (only this one time though).
With America socializing health care, where will Canadians go? (http://blog.acton.org/archives/2220-will-socialized-health-care-in-the-us-kill-canadians.html)


Pretty much everyone agrees that the Health Care System needs Reform, but making "any" change won't make it better.  The Democrats praised Medicare and Social Security, but Social Security is bankrupted and Medicare is losing money to this loathsome bill.  Bureaucracies are inefficient and shouldn't be running one-sixth of the US economy.  The cuts in medicare shows that Obama prefers to help the guy-who-will-not-buy-health-insurance-because-he-wants-to-have-a-bigger-house rather then your and my grandparents.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Steel Ersatz Man on March 22, 2010, 03:55:52 PM
This is a forum for an INTERNET GAME! Why are you talking about Health Care?
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Zhampir on March 22, 2010, 04:15:16 PM
because we're in the General Discussion > Politics> Universal health care...
This is not the sub-forum to talk about games (unless they have an adverse effect on the political system somewhere in the world)
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Zackirus on March 22, 2010, 04:35:20 PM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 03:23:00 PM
Quote from: Zackirus on March 22, 2010, 11:30:08 AM
Yesh, It toke you guys that long to get a better health care system. Canada has a free health care system and we have been doing just fine. then again, their are no socailists patries in America. God Bless Tommy Douglas and the NDP (only this one time though).
With America socializing health care, where will Canadians go? (http://blog.acton.org/archives/2220-will-socialized-health-care-in-the-us-kill-canadians.html)

Dangit your Right! But, it still feels good to have heart surgery and not pay a dime!
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on March 22, 2010, 05:54:03 PM
Quote from: Zackirus on March 22, 2010, 04:35:20 PM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 03:23:00 PM
Quote from: Zackirus on March 22, 2010, 11:30:08 AM
Yesh, It toke you guys that long to get a better health care system. Canada has a free health care system and we have been doing just fine. then again, their are no socailists patries in America. God Bless Tommy Douglas and the NDP (only this one time though).
With America socializing health care, where will Canadians go? (http://blog.acton.org/archives/2220-will-socialized-health-care-in-the-us-kill-canadians.html)

Dangit your Right! But, it still feels good to have heart surgery and not pay a dime!
Since the governement decides what and who gets covered, they can decide that certain heart surgeries are too expense and will not be covered.  Private insurers will increase insurance cost to cover new expensive treatments, while the governemt will not increase rates, so they have to ration healthcare instead.  The rationing of healthcare is the reason people from Canada need to be treated in the US.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: CraigStern on March 22, 2010, 06:58:22 PM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 05:54:03 PM
Since the governement decides what and who gets covered, they can decide that certain heart surgeries are too expense and will not be covered.

Have you read the bill? Can you point to a particular provision that says this?

Let's just put it this way. Even if it is true that this bill permits the government to exclude certain high-cost procedures from coverage, that's still a fair sight better than what private insurers have been doing (http://articles.latimes.com/2009/jun/17/business/fi-rescind17) for the past few decades in America. I'll take a system that doesn't cover extremely expensive procedures over one where you lose all coverage for all procedures the moment you get sick.

Rationing is another issue, but it seems to me that that has more to do with available resources vs. need rather than whether the government is paying the bills vs. private insurers paying.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Zhampir on March 22, 2010, 07:25:42 PM
I heard that there's a $2million limit.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Barzul on March 22, 2010, 08:04:09 PM
Personally I'm against government influence in many parts of economy, people, etc. So I'm against universal health care, as long as there are so many other government policies and commissions using up federal reserves. So, as I am a little biased as I have read none of the health care bill and only barely understand it, I'm pretty much against it on general principle in that the U.S. government is so stretched and so much in debt with a floundering economy.

So while health care does sound good, But right now? I don't think its the time.

Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: CraigStern on March 22, 2010, 08:38:04 PM
I find it interesting that so many people oppose this bill on national debt grounds. You might be interested to know that the Congressional Budget Office has estimated that the bill will actually reduce (http://cboblog.cbo.gov/?p=546) the federal deficit by roughly $143 billion over the next ten years, and up to $1.2 trillion over the ten after that. :)
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Barzul on March 22, 2010, 08:59:04 PM
Yes, but I have very republican parents who don't very much like the health care bill and they happen to be one of my major sources of news  ::)

I'm not a very political person, I'm pretty moderate on most subjects. Like how I think that as long as it works, I think health care is fine, but if not then scrap it and fix something else. But this one has me confused. I think the issue has been far over-complicated, I mean, the healthcare bill is like 1000 pages. The Constitution made it onto about 16 8 1/2 by 11's (if I remember my textbook right) and thats the country's whole basis, does healthcare really need to be that long? And then the news people are all yelling about it: "good and bad, reduce or add to debt." I'm pretty lost on what it is and isn't.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on March 22, 2010, 09:35:29 PM
Quote from: CraigStern on March 22, 2010, 06:58:22 PM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 05:54:03 PM
Since the governement decides what and who gets covered, they can decide that certain heart surgeries are too expense and will not be covered.
Let's just put it this way. Even if it is true that this bill permits the government to exclude certain high-cost procedures from coverage, that's still a fair sight better than what private insurers have been doing (http://articles.latimes.com/2009/jun/17/business/fi-rescind17) for the past few decades in America. I'll take a system that doesn't cover extremely expensive procedures over one where you lose all coverage for all procedures the moment you get sick.
Like I said earlier, everyone agrees to health care reform.  Just because a few of the reforms are good, doesn't mean the bill as a whole is good.  Both Republicans and Democrats agreed that people can't cancel coverage based on pre existing condition.  If Obama did what he promised and what the American people want, then we would have a moderate, partisan bill that doesn't give the government bureaucracy control of one-sixth of the economy. (The reason issurance rates have been going up recently is because the issurance companies realized that they would have to cover people with pre existing conditions and they need more money to cover these people who are more likely to be sick.)

Quote from: CraigStern on March 22, 2010, 08:38:04 PM
I find it interesting that so many people oppose this bill on national debt grounds. You might be interested to know that the Congressional Budget Office has estimated that the bill will actually reduce (http://cboblog.cbo.gov/?p=546) the federal deficit by roughly $143 billion over the next ten years, and up to $1.2 trillion over the ten after that.
The reason for that is because the bill forces the states to pay for the bill.  Instead of the federal govenment having deficit spending, the bill will force the states into deficit spending.  That is why 10 states are sueing (http://www.katu.com/news/88850532.html) for violating the 10th Amendment.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Presentiment on March 22, 2010, 09:46:10 PM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 03:23:00 PM
Quote from: Zackirus on March 22, 2010, 11:30:08 AM
Yesh, It toke you guys that long to get a better health care system. Canada has a free health care system and we have been doing just fine. then again, their are no socailists patries in America. God Bless Tommy Douglas and the NDP (only this one time though).
With America socializing health care, where will Canadians go? (http://blog.acton.org/archives/2220-will-socialized-health-care-in-the-us-kill-canadians.html)


Pretty much everyone agrees that the Health Care System needs Reform, but making "any" change won't make it better.  The Democrats praised Medicare and Social Security, but Social Security is bankrupted and Medicare is losing money to this loathsome bill.  Bureaucracies are inefficient and shouldn't be running one-sixth of the US economy.  The cuts in medicare shows that Obama prefers to help the guy-who-will-not-buy-health-insurance-because-he-wants-to-have-a-bigger-house rather then your and my grandparents.

The health care system isn't going to be much more 'socialized' than it already is, considering SS (Social Security, not Schutzstaffel) and Medicare are government run, and many insurance companies owe the government money.
You also don't cite any facts, which I find rather disturbing, because it shows to what extent the media at the right can influence people from reason.
Isn't extending health insurance to more Americans the point? Nobody except perhaps you family cares about your specific circumstance, seeing as you can already afford insurance. The bill extends Medicare to 150% of the poverty line, provides subsidies for those between 150 and 400% of the poverty line, and will reimburse doctors and hospitals for providing subsidies/free care to the poorer.
Quote from: CraigStern on March 22, 2010, 06:58:22 PM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 05:54:03 PM
Since the governement decides what and who gets covered, they can decide that certain heart surgeries are too expense and will not be covered.

Have you read the bill? Can you point to a particular provision that says this?



Nobody has read the whole thing, I hope. Also,

Quote from: Barzul on March 22, 2010, 08:04:09 PM
Personally I'm against government influence in many parts of economy, people, etc. So I'm against universal health care, as long as there are so many other government policies and commissions using up federal reserves. So, as I am a little biased as I have read none of the health care bill and only barely understand it, I'm pretty much against it on general principle in that the U.S. government is so stretched and so much in debt with a floundering economy.

So while health care does sound good, But right now? I don't think its the time.


The health care bill should actually save money, seeing as it cuts federal spending for certain programs, and provides for taxation of businesses not offering health insurance, as well as uninsured individuals.
I don't see what you mean by 'stretched' either, seeing as none of the provisions require much more supervision than Medicare and SS need now. 
---
There are some important details you need to understand about the bill:
-You are allowed to keep your current health care plan as long as the insurer does not change it.
-The bill does not restrict health care, neither does it call for 'snooping' on individuals.
-You will be able to choose your benefits, as before.
-Health care will not be denied depending on personal characteristics
-And other such myths are likely untrue...there is a fact-check I'm pulling these from. It is here (http://www.nowpublic.com/health/list-health-care-insurance-reform-bill).

Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
Quote from: Presentiment on March 22, 2010, 09:46:10 PM
The health care system isn't going to be much more 'socialized' than it already is, considering SS (Social Security, not Schutzstaffel) and Medicare are government run, and many insurance companies owe the government money.
You also don't cite any facts, which I find rather disturbing, because it shows to what extent the media at the right can influence people from reason.
Isn't extending health insurance to more Americans the point? Nobody except perhaps you family cares about your specific circumstance, seeing as you can already afford insurance. The bill extends Medicare to 150% of the poverty line, provides subsidies for those between 150 and 400% of the poverty line, and will reimburse doctors and hospitals for providing subsidies/free care to the poorer.
Do you know what 'socialized' means?  Instead of trying to lower the price of medicare coverage so more people can afford to pay for it themselves, the government taxes the middle to upper class to pay for the others insurrance.  This is a form of redistributing the wealth aka socialism.  There are many ways to lower prices without the governement paying for people's insurrance including: investing in preventive medicine, reduction of abuse and fraud in the Medicare program, malpractice reform, allowing issurance commpanies to trade over state lines, immigration reform, est.


Quote from: Presentiment on March 22, 2010, 09:46:10 PM
The health care bill should actually save money, seeing as it cuts federal spending for certain programs, and provides for taxation of businesses not offering health insurance, as well as uninsured individuals.
Explain to me why it is a good idea to tax small business(the greatest source of job creation) when the economy is bad.  The "cuts federal spending for certain programs" is cuts in Medicare.


Why is this bill a good idea?
*There isn't a single government agency or division that runs efficiently; do we really want an organization that developed the U.S. Tax Code handling something as complex as health care?
*"Free" health care isn't really free since we must pay for it with taxes; expenses for health care would have to be paid for with higher taxes or spending cuts in other areas such as defense, education, etc.
*Profit motives, competition, and individual ingenuity have always led to greater cost control and effectiveness.
*Government-controlled health care would lead to a decrease in patient flexibility.
*The health-care industry likely will become infused with the same kind of corruption, back-room dealing, and special-interest-dominated sleeze that is already prevalent in other areas of government.
*Patients aren't likely to curb their drug costs and doctor visits if health care is free; thus, total costs will be several times what they are now.
*Just because Americans are uninsured doesn't mean they can't receive health care; nonprofits and government-run hospitals provide services to those who don't have insurance, and it is illegal to refuse emergency medical service because of a lack of insurance.
*Government-mandated procedures will likely reduce doctor flexibility and lead to poor patient care.
*Healthy people who take care of themselves will have to pay for the burden of those who smoke, are obese, etc.
*A long, painful transition will have to take place involving lost insurance industry jobs, business closures, and new patient record creation.
*Loss of private practice options and possible reduced pay may dissuade many would-be doctors from pursuing the profession.
*Malpractice lawsuit costs, which are already sky-high, could further explode since universal care may expose the government to legal liability, and the possibility to sue someone with deep pockets usually invites more lawsuits.
*Government is more likely to pass additional restrictions or increase taxes on smoking, fast food, etc., leading to a further loss of personal freedoms.
*Patient confidentiality is likely to be compromised since centralized health information will likely be maintained by the government.
*Health care equipment, drugs, and services may end up being rationed by the government. In other words, politics, lifestyle of patients, and philosophical differences of those in power, could determine who gets what.
Patients may be subjected to extremely long waits for treatment.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 12:02:52 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
Quote from: Presentiment on March 22, 2010, 09:46:10 PM
The health care system isn't going to be much more 'socialized' than it already is, considering SS (Social Security, not Schutzstaffel) and Medicare are government run, and many insurance companies owe the government money.
You also don't cite any facts, which I find rather disturbing, because it shows to what extent the media at the right can influence people from reason.
Isn't extending health insurance to more Americans the point? Nobody except perhaps you family cares about your specific circumstance, seeing as you can already afford insurance. The bill extends Medicare to 150% of the poverty line, provides subsidies for those between 150 and 400% of the poverty line, and will reimburse doctors and hospitals for providing subsidies/free care to the poorer.
Do you know what 'socialized' means?  Instead of trying to lower the price of medicare coverage so more people can afford to pay for it themselves, the government taxes the middle to upper class to pay for the others insurrance.  This is a form of redistributing the wealth aka socialism.  There are many ways to lower prices without the governement paying for people's insurrance including: investing in preventive medicine, reduction of abuse and fraud in the Medicare program, malpractice reform, allowing issurance commpanies to trade over state lines, immigration reform, est.

And how the hell do you think you're going to implement your said solutions? Anyways, I don't see what is wrong with wealth redistribution, and its already being done, seeing as the income tax is variable depending on your income, between 0 and 33%.

I also don't see how your solutions are actually solutions. Investing in preventive medicine is a vague idea, and I can't see how this can be implemented as to produce tangible results, which is the problem with essentially all those solutions. How would you reduce abuse/fraud? How would you deal with malpractice? Are those two really issues that are important on a large scale? What about legal issues arising out of insurance companies trading over state lines?

If we had magical bullets to solve every problem we'd be living in a utopia.

Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
Quote from: Presentiment on March 22, 2010, 09:46:10 PM
The health care bill should actually save money, seeing as it cuts federal spending for certain programs, and provides for taxation of businesses not offering health insurance, as well as uninsured individuals.
Explain to me why it is a good idea to tax small business(the greatest source of job creation) when the economy is bad.  The "cuts federal spending for certain programs" is cuts in Medicare.

Small businesses get subsidies for providing employees with health care, so your point is moot.

Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
Why is this bill a good idea?
1. There isn't a single government agency or division that runs efficiently; do we really want an organization that developed the U.S. Tax Code handling something as complex as health care?
2. "Free" health care isn't really free since we must pay for it with taxes; expenses for health care would have to be paid for with higher taxes or spending cuts in other areas such as defense, education, etc.
3. Profit motives, competition, and individual ingenuity have always led to greater cost control and effectiveness.
4. Government-controlled health care would lead to a decrease in patient flexibility.
5. The health-care industry likely will become infused with the same kind of corruption, back-room dealing, and special-interest-dominated sleeze that is already prevalent in other areas of government.
6. Patients aren't likely to curb their drug costs and doctor visits if health care is free; thus, total costs will be several times what they are now.
7. Just because Americans are uninsured doesn't mean they can't receive health care; nonprofits and government-run hospitals provide services to those who don't have insurance, and it is illegal to refuse emergency medical service because of a lack of insurance.
8. Government-mandated procedures will likely reduce doctor flexibility and lead to poor patient care.
9. Healthy people who take care of themselves will have to pay for the burden of those who smoke, are obese, etc.
10. A long, painful transition will have to take place involving lost insurance industry jobs, business closures, and new patient record creation.
11. Loss of private practice options and possible reduced pay may dissuade many would-be doctors from pursuing the profession.
12. Malpractice lawsuit costs, which are already sky-high, could further explode since universal care may expose the government to legal liability, and the possibility to sue someone with deep pockets usually invites more lawsuits.
13. Government is more likely to pass additional restrictions or increase taxes on smoking, fast food, etc., leading to a further loss of personal freedoms.
14. Patient confidentiality is likely to be compromised since centralized health information will likely be maintained by the government.
15. Health care equipment, drugs, and services may end up being rationed by the government. In other words, politics, lifestyle of patients, and philosophical differences of those in power, could determine who gets what.
16. Patients may be subjected to extremely long waits for treatment.


Few of these concerns are legitimate, I'll tackle them in order. I've numbered them for clarity. 
1. The government is designed to be inefficient, as to make sure it works as fairly as possible. If you wanted efficiency you can take a time machine and go to Italy during World War II. However, your point is irrelevant anyways as it is based under the assumption the government is going to 'taking control of' health care, which is isn't.
2. Wealthier families can pay more, and even if they didn't have to, the benefits have to be weighed. Someone will have to look up where the cuts are being made/what taxes are being implemented before we can fairly argue this point.
3. That's your opinion, and it doesn't conflict with the health care bill anyways. You're stuck with a viewpoint of a vague, messy hive mind that is the government enveloping everything, which severely limits your viewpoint.
4. No it wouldn't. Fact-check that please. You are allowed to stay with your current insurer as long as they don't change the plan, and the government does not dictate your new insurer/doctor, merely recommends them.
5. That's a hypothetical, so I ask you for proof.
6. That is again a hypothetical, so I ask you for proof.
7. Yes, and they'll have to pay. The new health-care bill subsidizes insurance for the poor, and offers a plethora of new ways to get it.
8. Nope. You have to fact-check these, this is a myth that is blatantly untrue.
9. Where did you get that idea? Rush Limbaugh, Sarah Palin, or Glenn Beck?
10. That won't happen, seeing as no companies are going to be dismantled...
11. Again, an idea based on an untrue myth.
12. Malpractice makes up for a tiny fraction of a fraction of health care costs, and you're basing this on a hypothetical.
13. Where did you get that idea?
14. --16. Hypotheticals...
In the end, although your list seems impressive, it is based mostly on personal assumptions and no facts.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: CraigStern on March 23, 2010, 11:14:22 AM
Quote1. There isn't a single government agency or division that runs efficiently; do we really want an organization that developed the U.S. Tax Code handling something as complex as health care?

It's one thing to be philosophically opposed to government involvement in health care. That's a personal belief, not susceptible to proof. But you can't just walk up and say "government is always inefficient, therefore this program will be poorly managed and wasteful." That's a factual assertion, and you need to have a factual basis for making it.

I can make the same argument on the other side, and you'll quickly see why it's flawed: Private industry is more wasteful (http://blogs.webmd.com/mad-about-medicine/2007/08/ceo-compensation-who-said-healthcare-is.html) than government. Just last year, our entire private banking industry practically threw itself off of a proverbial cliff. Would you trust private industry people to handle your medical insurance? I wouldn't.

The problem with making broad-brush arguments like this is that some organizations are well-run, and some aren't, regardless of whether they are private or public. You have to look at the particular organization. The evidence suggests that Medicare, the largest part of our national public health insurance system, is actually somewhat better at controlling costs (http://healthaffairs.org/blog/2009/06/05/dangerous-confusion-on-medicare-cost-control/) than the private insurance industry has been for the past quarter-century or so. This, even with private insurers systematically kicking sick people off of their rolls. So there is good reason to believe that this bill will actually be an improvement, efficiency-wise.

Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 09:35:29 PMLike I said earlier, everyone agrees to health care reform.  Just because a few of the reforms are good, doesn't mean the bill as a whole is good.  Both Republicans and Democrats agreed that people can't cancel coverage based on pre existing condition.  If Obama did what he promised and what the American people want, then we would have a moderate, partisan bill that doesn't give the government bureaucracy control of one-sixth of the economy.

I'm a little suspicious about where you're getting some of these ideas: "what the American people want," for instance. That's pretty much verbatim a Republican Party talking point. Most people support establishing a public health insurance option (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/10/19/AR2009101902451.html), which is actually a good deal more socialist than what we got in this bill. (Here's (http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE5B20OL20091203) a second poll saying the same thing, and a couple more (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/08/20/new-poll-77-percent-suppo_n_264375.html) for good measure.)

It's fine to not like this bill--it certainly isn't perfect, and I personally have some misgivings about the thing. (I am, for example, not particularly enthusiastic about being fined unless I buy health insurance from private insurers.) But nonetheless, it behooves us to investigate the claims we hear about a proposal before we decide whether to support it or not.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on March 23, 2010, 04:14:08 PM
Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 12:02:52 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
Quote from: Presentiment on March 22, 2010, 09:46:10 PM
The health care system isn't going to be much more 'socialized' than it already is, considering SS (Social Security, not Schutzstaffel) and Medicare are government run, and many insurance companies owe the government money.
You also don't cite any facts, which I find rather disturbing, because it shows to what extent the media at the right can influence people from reason.
Isn't extending health insurance to more Americans the point? Nobody except perhaps you family cares about your specific circumstance, seeing as you can already afford insurance. The bill extends Medicare to 150% of the poverty line, provides subsidies for those between 150 and 400% of the poverty line, and will reimburse doctors and hospitals for providing subsidies/free care to the poorer.
Do you know what 'socialized' means?  Instead of trying to lower the price of medicare coverage so more people can afford to pay for it themselves, the government taxes the middle to upper class to pay for the others insurrance.  This is a form of redistributing the wealth aka socialism.  There are many ways to lower prices without the governement paying for people's insurrance including: investing in preventive medicine, reduction of abuse and fraud in the Medicare program, malpractice reform, allowing issurance commpanies to trade over state lines, immigration reform, est.

I also don't see how your solutions are actually solutions. Investing in preventive medicine is a vague idea, and I can't see how this can be implemented as to produce tangible results, which is the problem with essentially all those solutions. How would you reduce abuse/fraud? How would you deal with malpractice? Are those two really issues that are important on a large scale? What about legal issues arising out of insurance companies trading over state lines?
I don't have time to write a thousand page bill to go into detail about preventive medicine and fraud reduction.  Malpractice reform is needed, because hospitals charge more for health care to pay for many frivolous lawsuits. It is easy for a jury to give away someone else's money, so money given for pain and suffering needs to max out.  This would greatly reduce health care costs, because doctors wouldn't need to spend so much money on malpratice insurance.  Because of lawyers, doctors have to due many useless tests, so they are not sued for missing anything.  A bill needs to adress legal issues about trading over state lines.  With more companies trading in a state, there is more competition and prices will lower. Simple supply and demand.

Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 12:02:52 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
Why is this bill a good idea?
1. There isn't a single government agency or division that runs efficiently; do we really want an organization that developed the U.S. Tax Code handling something as complex as health care?
3. Profit motives, competition, and individual ingenuity have always led to greater cost control and effectiveness.
1. The government is designed to be inefficient, as to make sure it works as fairly as possible. If you wanted efficiency you can take a time machine and go to Italy during World War II. However, your point is irrelevant anyways as it is based under the assumption the government is going to 'taking control of' health care, which is isn't.
3. That's your opinion, and it doesn't conflict with the health care bill anyways. You're stuck with a viewpoint of a vague, messy hive mind that is the government enveloping everything, which severely limits your viewpoint.
First you say "government is designed to be inefficient" and then you say it is my opinion that the private sector is more efficient.  Apparently you have a "a vague, messy hive mind" too.

Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 12:02:52 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
Why is this bill a good idea?
5. The health-care industry likely will become infused with the same kind of corruption, back-room dealing, and special-interest-dominated sleeze that is already prevalent in other areas of government.
5. That's a hypothetical, so I ask you for proof.
I sure you are right.  Noble politicians like Obama wouldn't use his control over the bureaucracy to further his leftist political agenda.::) This is the same guy who had to tell the world that the underwear bomber is talking for only political reasons.  If he is willing to warn terroist in Yemen that their guy is talking to increase his approval rating, then he willing to use his control of the health care system to further other political goals.

Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 12:02:52 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
6. Patients aren't likely to curb their drug costs and doctor visits if health care is free; thus, total costs will be several times what they are now.
6. That is again a hypothetical, so I ask you for proof.
You probably failed economy in school by answering "thats hypothetical".  This is simple logic.  When it cost money to go to the doctor, people will only go when they really need to.  When the government pays for it, people will go for minor illnesses.  With more people going to the doctor and purchasing drugs, the demand goes up.  When the demand goes up, so does prices.

Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 12:02:52 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
8. Government-mandated procedures will likely reduce doctor flexibility and lead to poor patient care.
8. Nope. You have to fact-check these, this is a myth that is blatantly untrue.
If you want proof, then read about any country with socialized health care.

Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 12:02:52 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
9. Healthy people who take care of themselves will have to pay for the burden of those who smoke, are obese, etc.
9. Where did you get that idea? Rush Limbaugh, Sarah Palin, or Glenn Beck?
Smoking and obesity are pre existing conditions that the new bill forces the issurance companies to cover.  To cover these unhealthy people, the price of insurance will go up.
Glenn Back is funny, because he make stuff up as he goes and most of the time it is total bull $hit. Even if she is smarter then people portray her, Sarah Palin doesn't know half about what she is talking about.  Never listened to Rush Limbaugh. 

Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 12:02:52 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
11. Loss of private practice options and possible reduced pay may dissuade many would-be doctors from pursuing the profession.
11. Again, an idea based on an untrue myth.
I am sure many people want to go four years of collage, then four years of medical school, work as an intern, work as a resident, pay back huge loans, and then get payed less money after the government tries to lower doctor wages.

Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 12:02:52 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 11:21:39 PM
14. Patient confidentiality is likely to be compromised since centralized health information will likely be maintained by the government.
15. Health care equipment, drugs, and services may end up being rationed by the government. In other words, politics, lifestyle of patients, and philosophical differences of those in power, could determine who gets what.
16. Patients may be subjected to extremely long waits for treatment.
14. --16. Hypotheticals…
Let me guess. You knew I was right, so you called it "hypothetical" as a last resort.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 08:14:44 PM
No, none of your inferences are based on fact.

It sounds like you're quoting from Sarah Palin.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on March 23, 2010, 10:08:34 PM
Quote from: CraigStern on March 23, 2010, 11:14:22 AM
Quote1. There isn't a single government agency or division that runs efficiently; do we really want an organization that developed the U.S. Tax Code handling something as complex as health care?

It's one thing to be philosophically opposed to government involvement in health care. That's a personal belief, not susceptible to proof. But you can't just walk up and say "government is always inefficient, therefore this program will be poorly managed and wasteful." That's a factual assertion, and you need to have a factual basis for making it.

I can make the same argument on the other side, and you'll quickly see why it's flawed: Private industry is more wasteful (http://blogs.webmd.com/mad-about-medicine/2007/08/ceo-compensation-who-said-healthcare-is.html) than government. Just last year, our entire private banking industry practically threw itself off of a proverbial cliff. Would you trust private industry people to handle your medical insurance? I wouldn't.

The problem with making broad-brush arguments like this is that some organizations are well-run, and some aren't, regardless of whether they are private or public. You have to look at the particular organization. The evidence suggests that Medicare, the largest part of our national public health insurance system, is actually somewhat better at controlling costs (http://healthaffairs.org/blog/2009/06/05/dangerous-confusion-on-medicare-cost-control/) than the private insurance industry has been for the past quarter-century or so. This, even with private insurers systematically kicking sick people off of their rolls. So there is good reason to believe that this bill will actually be an improvement, efficiency-wise.
In private industry, ineffcient businesses are put out business by the competitors.  When the government bureaucracies are ineffcient,  the taxes payers keep giving them money to flush down the drain.  Medicare is a good idea, but Medicare needs to be fixed (http://toptenthingswrongwithmedicare.org/).  The government should have fixed Medicare before spreading government inefficiency in the health care system.

My article is written by a doctor, while yours is written by a liberal writer.  Who know better?

Quote from: CraigStern on March 23, 2010, 11:14:22 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 09:35:29 PMLike I said earlier, everyone agrees to health care reform.  Just because a few of the reforms are good, doesn't mean the bill as a whole is good.  Both Republicans and Democrats agreed that people can't cancel coverage based on pre existing condition.  If Obama did what he promised and what the American people want, then we would have a moderate, partisan bill that doesn't give the government bureaucracy control of one-sixth of the economy.

I'm a little suspicious about where you're getting some of these ideas: "what the American people want," for instance. That's pretty much verbatim a Republican Party talking point. Most people support establishing a public health insurance option (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/10/19/AR2009101902451.html), which is actually a good deal more socialist than what we got in this bill. (Here's (http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE5B20OL20091203) a second poll saying the same thing, and a couple more (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/08/20/new-poll-77-percent-suppo_n_264375.html) for good measure.)
All the sites you gave me are sites I use to quote liberals.  Use a non-baised site like Gallup (http://www.gallup.com/poll/126521/Favor-Oppose-Obama-Healthcare-Plan.aspx). If the people didn't disagree with the bill, then why did the Democrats reject the voice vote.  The reason why is because they will lose re-election if they are on video voting for the bill.

Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 08:14:44 PM
No, none of your inferences are based on fact.

It sounds like you're quoting from Sarah Palin.
Unable to argue with my logic, you have to attack my credibility.  That just shows how weak your arguement really is.  You're kinda pathetic.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 11:01:08 PM
Simply because the logic isn't there, because you come out with random inferences, such as 'centralized health information likely to be maintained by the government', 'may end up'. You provide no reasoning for why you would come up with these ideas.

I'd also like to point out that voice votes are not recorded unless there is major disagreement on what people said, in fact, voice votes are in fact used to cover up voting, as there is no formal record of the proceedings. Because the Senate allows unlimited debate, the Democrats need 60 to overcome a Republican filibuster, and it is harder to determine whether that majority was met with a voice vote.

It also doesn't matter who wrote the article as long as it makes sense. 
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: CraigStern on March 24, 2010, 10:25:15 AM
Quote from: im2smart4u on March 23, 2010, 10:08:34 PMMy article is written by a doctor, while yours is written by a liberal writer.  Who know better?

First of all, this is an appeal to authority (http://www.logicalfallacies.info/relevance/appeals/appeal-to-authority/). You should weigh the arguments based on how sound each of them is, not based on who made them.

Second, a doctor is trained to treat patients, not to analyze financial data. I can't think of any reason why I should give greater weight to an industry cost analysis made by a doctor than I would to an analysis by someone who works regularly on the policy end.

Third, Health Affairs is a peer-reviewed journal, not some liberal blog. And the writer, Joseph White, is not just "a liberal writer." Here is his bio:

QuoteJoe White is Luxenberg Family Professor of Public Policy, Chair of the Department of Political Science, Professor of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, and Director of the Center for Policy Studies at Case Western Reserve University. He earned his AB in Political Science from the University of Chicago and his MA and PhD in Political Science from the University of California, Berkeley. His research has focused on federal budget policy and politics, international health care systems, entitlements, and health care cost control. His research on health care policy and politics includes two books: False Alarm: Why the Greatest Threat to Social Security and Medicare is the Campaign to "Save" Them (Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press, 2001; paperback with new afterword, 2003), and Competing Solutions: American Health Care Proposals and International Experience (Washington, DC: Brookings, 1995). Among his articles are "Markets and Medical Care: The United States, 1993-2005." The Milbank Quarterly 85:3 (September 2007), and "The Obama Administration's Options for Health Care Cost Control: Hope vs. Reality," with Theodore R. Marmor and Jonathan Oberlander. Annals of Internal Medicine 150, No. 7 (7 April 2009).

Quote from: im2smart4u on March 23, 2010, 10:08:34 PM
Quote from: CraigStern on March 23, 2010, 11:14:22 AMI'm a little suspicious about where you're getting some of these ideas: "what the American people want," for instance. That's pretty much verbatim a Republican Party talking point. Most people support establishing a public health insurance option (http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2009/10/19/AR2009101902451.html), which is actually a good deal more socialist than what we got in this bill. (Here's (http://www.reuters.com/article/idUSTRE5B20OL20091203) a second poll saying the same thing, and a couple more (http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2009/08/20/new-poll-77-percent-suppo_n_264375.html) for good measure.)
All the sites you gave me are sites I use to quote liberals.  Use a non-baised site like Gallup (http://www.gallup.com/poll/126521/Favor-Oppose-Obama-Healthcare-Plan.aspx). If the people didn't disagree with the bill, then why did the Democrats reject the voice vote.  The reason why is because they will lose re-election if they are on video voting for the bill.

Reuters is a non-partisan news wire, like McClatchey or the Associated Press. The Washington Post has left-leaning editors, but it is nonetheless a credible paper with accurate reporting. The Huffington Post is a bit of a liberal rag, I'll admit that.

As for Gallup, their latest poll shows that Americans support the health care bill 49-40: http://www.gallup.com/poll/126929/Slim-Margin-Americans-Support-Healthcare-Bill-Passage.aspx
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on March 24, 2010, 03:54:42 PM
Quote from: Presentiment on March 23, 2010, 11:01:08 PM
Simply because the logic isn't there, because you come out with random inferences, such as 'centralized health information likely to be maintained by the government', 'may end up'. You provide no reasoning for why you would come up with these ideas.
Obama himself (http://money.cnn.com/2009/01/12/technology/stimulus_health_care/) wants to make it where any doctor can look up health information about anyone.  If a doctor is willing to give Michael Jackson a lethal amount of drugs, then what will stop a doctor from selling personal medical information.  Your lack of logic and false accusations make you seem even more pathetic.

Quote from: CraigStern on March 24, 2010, 10:25:15 AM
As for Gallup, their latest poll shows that Americans support the health care bill 49-40: http://www.gallup.com/poll/126929/Slim-Margin-Americans-Support-Healthcare-Bill-Passage.aspx
At least this a non-baised poll.  It wierd that there were so little people who answered "no opinon", since the bill passed less than two days ago.  I surprised that so many actually know what is in the bill to like it or not like it.

Quote from: im2smart4u on March 22, 2010, 09:35:29 PM
Quote from: CraigStern on March 22, 2010, 08:38:04 PM
I find it interesting that so many people oppose this bill on national debt grounds. You might be interested to know that the Congressional Budget Office has estimated that the bill will actually reduce (http://cboblog.cbo.gov/?p=546) the federal deficit by roughly $143 billion over the next ten years, and up to $1.2 trillion over the ten after that.
The reason for that is because the bill forces the states to pay for the bill.  Instead of the federal govenment having deficit spending, the bill will force the states into deficit spending.  That is why 10 states are sueing (http://www.katu.com/news/88850532.html) for violating the 10th Amendment.
It is 11 states (http://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Justice/2010/0322/Attorneys-general-in-11-states-poised-to-challenge-healthcare-bill) now.  Does no one else think it is wrong that the federal government is forcing its problems onto the states?



Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: CraigStern on March 24, 2010, 06:38:48 PM
I don't see any basis for the argument that the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (http://www.opencongress.org/bill/111-h3590/text)* violates the 10th Amendment. The new health care law requires individuals to secure insurance, and in some instances, business owners will have to provide health insurance to their employees. It doesn't require the states to buy insurance for anyone.

The 10th Amendment has only ever been applied in cases where the federal government forces the states to either adopt (http://supct.law.cornell.edu/supct/html/91-543.ZS.html) or enforce (http://www.law.cornell.edu/supct/html/95-1478.ZS.html) federal rules. The only thing at all like this in the bill is the state insurance exchange mandate, but the bill provides no penalties for states that do not set one up. Instead, it just empowers the Secretary of Health and Human Services to set one up in their stead. (See Section 1321(c) of the law.)


*I'd link to thomas.loc.gov, the official Library of Congress website, but links to that site expire after a while. If you want to find it on thomas.loc.gov, look under H.R. 3590.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Presentiment on March 25, 2010, 12:03:07 AM
Federal law takes precedent over state law.

Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on March 25, 2010, 02:23:11 PM
Quote from: CraigStern on March 24, 2010, 06:38:48 PM
I don't see any basis for the argument that the Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act (http://www.opencongress.org/bill/111-h3590/text)* violates the 10th Amendment.
"The powers not delegated to the United States by the Constitution, nor prohibited by it to the States, are reserved to the States respectively, or to the people."

Health care isn't in the Constitution and being alive isn't considered interstate commerce, so the government can't mandate health issurance.  Since health care isn't in the Constitution, it is "reserved to the States respectively, or to the people".
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: CraigStern on March 25, 2010, 07:30:24 PM
The 10th Amendment isn't considered an affirmative limit on Congressional power, though: as interpreted by the courts, it only really applies to keep Congress from hijacking state governmental functions, as mentioned above. It's actually Article I of the Constitution that limits Congressional powers to those enumerated. (Trust me on this one: I used to be a research assistant for one of the country's foremost Constitutional scholars. :) )

Personally, I think those 11 states are going to have a very hard time arguing that the commerce clause doesn't support this bill. Ever since Wickard v. Filburn (http://www.law.cornell.edu/supct/html/historics/USSC_CR_0317_0111_ZO.html), there's been a rule in commerce clause jurisprudence called the aggregation principle. Basically, what it means is that even personal conduct that never crosses state lines can be reached through legislation via the commerce clause if that behavior, taken in the aggregate, has a substantial affect on interstate commerce.

So in Wickard, agricultural laws passed in response to free-falling food prices during the Great Depression limited the amount of wheat farmers were allowed to grow. The guy suing was a farmer who had produced about 240 bushels of wheat above the amount allowed. The excess wheat was for his own personal consumption, and wasn't ever going into commerce anywhere, so he claimed that the agricultural act reached beyond Congress's constitutional powers. Not so, said the court: "That appellee's own contribution to the demand for wheat may be trivial by itself is not enough to remove him from the scope of federal regulation where, as here, his contribution, taken together with that of many others similarly situated, is far from trivial."

The situation is similar here: you have an industry spanning every state, and Congress is trying to control prices by regulating individual behavior. While someone's individual choice to not buy health insurance will have only an infinitesimal effect on interstate commerce on its own, taken in the aggregate, that kind of decision would have a huge effect, raising the cost of covering really sick people. I think the chances of the Supreme Court striking this law down are about 1 in 1,000. It could happen, but I'd be really surprised.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on March 26, 2010, 04:17:15 PM
How is it considered interstate commerce when the system is built to where you can't buy insurrance over state lines?  It is one thing to regulate the amount of a good, so inflation doesn't happen, but to mandate someone to buy health insurance for being an American citizen is another.  Where does it stop?  Is the government going to mandate citizens to buy cars to save inefficient automotive companies?
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Presentiment on March 27, 2010, 02:52:49 PM
And then when legal issues arise its going to be a mess compromising between multiple states' judicial systems.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on April 27, 2010, 10:37:30 AM
When Obama gives amensty to 11 million illegal immigrants, will we be able to afford to give them all free health care too? 
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: Pylons on April 27, 2010, 10:34:45 PM
Healthcare for 11 million is a drop in the bucket even if all the same rights are extended to illegal immigrants.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on April 28, 2010, 09:31:03 AM
Quote from: Pylons on April 27, 2010, 10:34:45 PM
Healthcare for 11 million is a drop in the bucket even if all the same rights are extended to illegal immigrants.
2.6 trillion dollars is a big drop.

Quote from: http://www.heritage.org/Research/Reports/2007/06/Amnesty-Will-Cost-US-Taxpayers-at-Least-26-TrillionMedicaid and Medicare costs are likely to rise faster than the rate of general inflation. To project the future governmental costs of amnesty recipients during retirement, this paper has used the current net governmental costs for elderly immigrants with skill levels similar to the amnesty population. These net governmental costs amount to $17,000 per person per year in 2004; half of this cost was medical care expenditures under the Medicare and Medicaid programs. The cost of government Medicaid and Medicare benefits has tended to escalate rapidly both because medical cost inflation has been greater than the general rate of inflation in the economy and because the range of medical services provided by these programs has expanded. The cost of Medicare and Medicaid services is likely to continue to increase more rapidly than inflation for the foreseeable future. As a consequence, the actual retirement costs for amnesty recipients will almost certainly be greater than $2.6 trillion, even after adjusting for general inflation.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: CraigStern on April 28, 2010, 10:02:08 AM
The Heritage Foundation is a partisan think tank; it's best to take its publications with a grain of salt.

Consider, for instance: the author mentions that undocumented immigrants have a poverty rate roughly twice that of the general population, yet does not appear to factor this into his calculations about how many people will be able to obtain legal permanent resident status. (LPR status is required in order to be eligible for benefits under Medicare and Medicaid, and one cannot obtain LPR status without paying a $4,000 fine.)

But more importantly, this study only examines one side of the equation. Sure, having more citizens available for government benefits will increase costs. What the author fails to mention, however, is that by bringing undocumented immigrants out of the shadows, the government will also have a new source of tax revenue to pay those costs. Many undocumented immigrants are currently paid "under the table," dodging federal income taxes and payroll taxes (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Payroll_tax#Social_security_and_Medicare_taxes) on money they earn working. Amnesty gives them an incentive to start paying into the system (and, by the same token, removes much of the incentive employers have to hire them in place of citizens, since employers will have to start paying taxes for them as well).
Title: Re: The Unaffordable Care Act passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on October 22, 2013, 12:36:43 AM
The Unaffordable Care Act will increase the average individual-market insurance premiums by 99% for men and 62% for women. (http://www.forbes.com/sites/theapothecary/2013/09/25/double-down-obamacare-will-increase-avg-individual-market-insurance-premiums-by-99-for-men-62-for-women/)

Quote from: CraigStern on April 28, 2010, 10:02:08 AMSure, having more citizens available for government benefits will increase costs. What the author fails to mention, however, is that by bringing undocumented immigrants out of the shadows, the government will also have a new source of tax revenue to pay those costs. Many undocumented immigrants are currently paid "under the table," dodging federal income taxes and payroll taxes on money they earn working. Amnesty gives them an incentive to start paying into the system (and, by the same token, removes much of the incentive employers have to hire them in place of citizens, since employers will have to start paying taxes for them as well).
The uneducated illegal immigrants from third world countries will cost the government way, way more than they will ever pay in taxes.  If the illegals are granted amnesty, then they will likely add their numbers to the 43% of Americans who don't pay any federal income taxes, yet still ask for expensive entitlement programs.
Title: Re: Universal health care bill passes U.S. Congress
Post by: CraigStern on October 23, 2013, 11:11:44 PM
For the reasons explained here, directly comparing rates pre-ACA with the rates of plans under the ACA is like comparing apples and oranges, since the ACA forbids unethical practices that distorted premium prices prior to its passage: http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2013/10/02/fact-check-premiums-will-go-up/ (http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2013/10/02/fact-check-premiums-will-go-up/)

Where plans actually offering similar benefits were compared, the rates remained stable on average:

QuoteThe study used modeling to look at ten "representative states" as well as the country as a whole. In five of those ten states, RAND finds no increases when the costs of individual plans offered prior to Obamacare are compared to cost estimates for comparable plans offered in the exchanges. Consumers in three states – Minnesota, North Dakota and Ohio – could see their premiums increase by as much as 43%, while in the final two states – Louisiana and New Mexico – consumers could see their premiums decline. Nationwide, the study estimates that premiums will remain stable.

The actual effects differed by state.
Title: Re: The Unaffordable Care Act passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on November 22, 2013, 05:22:55 PM
Quote from: CraigStern on March 23, 2010, 11:14:22 AM
QuoteThere isn't a single government agency or division that runs efficiently; do we really want an organization that developed the U.S. Tax Code handling something as complex as health care?
It's one thing to be philosophically opposed to government involvement in health care. That's a personal belief, not susceptible to proof. But you can't just walk up and say "government is always inefficient, therefore this program will be poorly managed and wasteful." That's a factual assertion, and you need to have a factual basis for making it.
About three years ago, I warned you guys that the government isn't competent enough to run the country's heath care system.  Now we have a broken website that could only allow five people to sign up (http://dailycaller.com/2013/11/08/report-d-c-obamacare-exchange-enrolls-5/) when the government expected to get several thousands of people enrolled.  If Katherine Sebelius (http://www.hulu.com/watch/550560) messed up as bad as she did in the private industry, then she would have been fired for her incompetence. Instead, we keep the inept head of the HHS, because Obama finds politics more important than having capable employees.
Title: Re: The Unaffordable Care Act passes U.S. Congress
Post by: SmartyPants on December 15, 2013, 07:36:23 PM
Lie of the Year: "If you like your health care plan, you can keep it" (http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/article/2013/dec/12/lie-year-if-you-like-your-health-care-plan-keep-it/): Approximately 4 million Americans received cancellation letters from their insurance companies due to Obamacare, and the Obama administration has known that was going to happen since three years ago.
Title: The Unaffordable Care Act
Post by: SmartyPants on January 15, 2014, 12:17:02 AM
Obamacare will make insurance even more expensive than previously predicted, because not enough young, healthy people signed up on the exchange to supplement the cost of all the sick, old people who have signed up. (http://finance.yahoo.com/news/obamacare-enrollment-50-states-grey-184900262.html)